An attack on the US Embassy in Ankara suggests that the capability of terrorist organisation the Revolutionary People's Liberation Party-Front (DHKP-C) or a PKK splinter group to attack state and diplomatic assets has increased,” according to a special report released by Exclusive Analysis.
In his report, deputy head of Eurasia Forecasting Alexander Melikishvili said, “Although few details are known about the circumstances surrounding the incident, one possible, and in our initial assessment the most likely group responsible is the DHKP-C terrorist organisation. The attack is likely in retaliation for the police raids in Istanbul, Ankara, Izmir and other cities on 18 January, which targeted alleged DHKP-C activists and resulted in 85 arrests.”
DHKP-C is a leftist militant group. Recent attacks include a suicide bombing at a police station in Istanbul's Sultangazi district on 11 September 2012, which killed a police officer and wounded six people. DHKP-C opposes the AKP government and claimed responsibility for bombing the party's offices in Istanbul in December 2008.
“Another possible perpetrator of the attack would be a splinter group of the Kurdish separatist organisation, the PKK. We forecast in January that if the PKK viewed the killing of three female PKK activists in Paris on 10 January as the work of Turkish security forces they would look to carry out retaliatory attacks,” Melikishvili said.
“We are likely to see IED attacks of similar scale against government and diplomatic assets in the coming months in Turkish cities as groups look to cause casualties and embarrass the government,” the report concluded.
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